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This is a broadly helpful introduction to the future tenses. Although I'm not sure if the distinction between predictions in Future Simple and Going To + Infinitive holds true in the real world. For example, "I think it will rain tomorrow" and "I think it's going to rain tomorrow" seem to carry the same level of certainty. I'm not sure if "going to" suggests more evidence, because "will" sounds very certain to me. You even mention this: Future Simple is for future facts.
